Bennington, Vermont 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

934
FXUS61 KBTV 250729
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
329 AM EDT Fri Jul 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will bring scattered showers as it moves
southeastward through the region today; in southern areas there will
be a threat of thunderstorms during the midday hours. Drier and
cooler conditions briefly return tonight, then a warming trend
develops through Monday with limited chances for rain. More
unsettled weather is anticipated through Wednesday, followed by dry
and cooler conditions.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 329 AM EDT Friday...Bottom line up front: potential for
hazardous weather today has continued to diminish.

A well-defined frontal zone is over the region this morning
with weak low pressure over southeastern Canada attached to a
cold front oriented from northeast to southwest. It will
continue sliding towards the southeast throughout the day, and
increasing low level convergence ahead of the boundary along
ample moisture will support scattered to numerous showers. The
cloud cover out ahead of the boundary and early day timing of
the front will greatly limit low-level lapse rates, resulting in
poor instability to have low probabilities of thunder, let
alone severe thunderstorms, today. With favorable effective
shear for some storm organization, if there is sufficient
instability in southern portions of Vermont, such as in Orange,
Rutland, and Windsor counties, these areas could still see an
isolated stronger thunderstorm. This potential is limited based
on the early frontal timing, with maybe the noon to 2 PM
timeframe being most favorable. Some widely scattered additional
showers are possible with a secondary cold front moving through
during the afternoon, but the thunderstorm threat will be
diminishing with introduction of a plethora of dry air aloft.

Otherwise, we`re still looking at quiet weather tonight into
Saturday. Have added patchy fog wording to the climatologically
favored areas and lowered temperatures accordingly with
expectation of good radiational cooling, especially over the
Adirondacks given the latest model guidance showing high
pressure moving right over the region by daybreak. Aside from
some cirrus, skies should largely be sunny. With good mixing
depths associated with dry low level air, temperatures should
still warm up quite nicely into the low to mid 80s, making for
an arguably perfect summer day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 308 AM EDT Friday...Saturday night will begin with some high
clouds streaming eastward across the region with otherwise quiet
weather. Somewhat warmer and more humid air will return for Sunday
as southerly flow returns.

A shortwave trough will cross our region during the morning hours
while the associated frontal system passes to our south. There has
been a notable southward shift in the model guidance, hence a large
reduction in PoPs from the previous forecast. Showers and
thunderstorms generally look less likely, especially as one goes
northeastward. Relatedly, high temperatures for Sunday are tricky.
Where precipitation chances are low across northern areas, mostly
sunny skies during most of the day will support highs soaring into
the mid and upper 80s for many locations. Farther south, there is
higher spread in possible temperatures (from the low 80s to near
90), dependent on how long cloud cover and rain persists.

Winds on the mountain summits may be a bit higher than currently
forecast, particularly during the morning, as southwesterly flow
increases ahead of the trough passage. Thereafter there is greater
confidence in lighter winds, as well diminishing precipitation
chances across the area. Total rainfall on Sunday, relatedly, is
rather uncertain with large spread in 10th-90th percentile amounts,
especially southern areas again, where there is a low chance of
substantially heavier rainfall (0.5"-0.75") than what the blend of
models is showing (up to 0.1" inch). Interestingly it would appear
where this rain is more likely the environment will be relatively
stable with lower thunderstorm potential, while farther north
instability will be more likely to support isolated thunderstorms
but the forcing for convection may be too limited to see any
precipitation.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 308 AM EDT Friday...Sunday night into Monday will be warm and
dry ahead of an approaching cold front which will cross the area
Monday night. Another frontal passage will bring showers to the area
Tuesday night into Wednesday. After a warm start to the week, will
have a cooling trend as we head through the week. Models have not
been very consistent with timing of showers for next week, so would
call it uncertain at best. At this time not seeing any significant
weather events, but several chances for showers to watch.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...Changeable flight categories expected
over the next 18 hours associated with a cold front and a
broken line of showers and thunderstorms. A brief window of
MVFR cigs/vis is likely at most sites, along with some embedded
lightning. Breezy south/southwest winds 5 to 15 knots ahead of
this boundary will shift to the west/northwest by 12z Friday. As
this occurs cigs will lower to MVFR at most sites with some IFR
possible at SLK/MPV and MSS between 10z-15z Friday, before a
slow improving trend toward VFR occurs by 18z Friday.

Outlook...

Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance
TSRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Kutikoff
NEAR TERM...Kutikoff
SHORT TERM...Kutikoff
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Neiles